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Very cool post, and nice, easy-to-read code. You re pretty explicit about the question here what proportion of hands am I likely to win. in each of the two situations. Of course, the decision of what to do in this situation should be which of these two options maximizes my expected profit. Because a full house pays out more than a pair, hotels near casino rama with shuttle, for example, the second strategy may be more profitable. The way to handle this would be to weight the outcomes by the payouts when "hotels near casino rama with shuttle" take the average which would give you average dollars expected by from each strategy. Then, pick the strategy that gives you the highest expected payout. As you say, though, all outcomes are more likely in strategy 1 than in strategy 2, so weighting the outcomes differently won t have an impact. Yes, you re right.

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